Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.001058 0.001202 0.001347 0.001501 0.001662 0.001824 0.001999
2026-01-18 0.000839 0.001048 0.001263 0.001499 0.001751 0.002008 0.002291
2026-01-25 0.000624 0.000873 0.001139 0.001440 0.001766 0.002105 0.002483
2026-02-01 0.000472 0.000751 0.001060 0.001417 0.001812 0.002229 0.002698
2026-02-08 0.000364 0.000665 0.001011 0.001422 0.001883 0.002374 0.002931
2026-02-15 0.000280 0.000598 0.000978 0.001438 0.001960 0.002523 0.003165
2026-02-22 0.000216 0.000546 0.000957 0.001464 0.002047 0.002679 0.003404
2026-03-01 0.000148 0.000477 0.000909 0.001454 0.002089 0.002783 0.003584
2026-03-08 0.000084 0.000400 0.000845 0.001421 0.002100 0.002850 0.003720
2026-03-15 0.000049 0.000358 0.000821 0.001432 0.002161 0.002970 0.003912
2026-03-22 0.000018 0.000308 0.000782 0.001423 0.002196 0.003059 0.004068
2026-03-29 0.000005 0.000281 0.000772 0.001447 0.002267 0.003187 0.004267
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000223 0.000724 0.001437 0.002318 0.003314 0.004488
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000170 0.000678 0.001430 0.002371 0.003444 0.004715
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000103 0.000594 0.001368 0.002357 0.003497 0.004856
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000061 0.000542 0.001344 0.002387 0.003599 0.005051
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000035 0.000512 0.001347 0.002450 0.003737 0.005285
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000018 0.000490 0.001362 0.002524 0.003889 0.005534
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000008 0.000478 0.001387 0.002611 0.004054 0.005798
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000443 0.001377 0.002652 0.004164 0.005997
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000396 0.001344 0.002661 0.004235 0.006149
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000378 0.001355 0.002726 0.004370 0.006375
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.000349 0.001346 0.002764 0.004472 0.006562